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ow brexit may remove the last english speaking country the countries currently on its guiding council are shown in the logo soon there might be no english speaking countries left so disconnect the name from a living language voilá iter is no longer an acronym it is okay to write it iter or iter iter is the chosen name because it is dead latin for the way iter the tokamak iter s goal is to generate 500 mw of fusion power support a fusion burn that lasts for 10 minutes they will try for 1000 seconds about 16 min and produce 10 times more power than used by the facility q 10 the machine to ultimately perform these is shown in fig 1 the left side shows its interior lined with its protective first wall blanket the right side depicts the blanket being installed fig 1 iter cutaway man lower left fig 2 thin slice through iter showing the key features click any figure to see a full sized image the colors are for identification unless someone uses a paintbrush the actual iter will be metal toned from dull to shiny gray unless otherwise stated the source of the figures originate with iter org we have modified and colorized most but the basic drawings for the images are from iter organization fig 2 is a thin slice out of fig 1 continue reading posted in technology tagged fusion reactor fusion timeline ignition iter tokamak divertor leave a comment if i explain they will accept uh umm posted on 2017 08 09 by lasttechage today s skepticalscience com has a link to one of katharine hayhoe s latest videos facts don t convince this video fig 1 is a very solid description on why you cannot come up to someone just explain the technical facts about something then expect them to change their ideas change their acceptances their beliefs their feelings of happiness or anger fig 1 opening screen to a very grown up presentation this is very true and the person becomes less amenable to facts the more technical training they have she uses global warming as her topic but it is true throughout all experience her reasons are _ well watch it for yourself fig 2 global weirding start screen katharine is one sharp person who has been the topic two of lasttechage posts she is an evangelical christian and an important climate scientist i think i have her correct order of importance though i have never met her nor had any kind of communication oh brother do i agree with her discussion our last two global warming posts were not to change anyone s attitude but to explain to those who want to accept the inevitable that it is okay to say that climate change destruction is new horrible and is our doings postscript i refer to her here as katharine because normal americans are uncomfortable with dr whatsthename same kind of reason i sign off as charles although i actually go by either charlie or dr armentrout more people than imagined by my younger self have an uncomfortable even hostile response to my preferred personal name charles j armentrout ann arbor 2017 aug 9 this is listed under natural resources in the global warming thread have a comment click on the title of this post go to bottom let us know related posts click the index button under the banner picture posted in natural resources tagged global warming global weirding katharine hayhoe skeptical science leave a comment climate shift denialists 2 religious posted on 2017 07 05 by lasttechage trump and his religious followers deny climate change why on june 1 2017 pres trump pulled the u s out of the international paris agreement on climate change this is a major action that will haunt our grandchildren s grandchildren it also has the support of many leaders religious as well as political in this country our discussion began in climate shift denialists 1 which discussed climate change denialists in business and politics religious denialists are possibly more important climate shift is real d religious denialists fig 3 meaning of third rail a third rail issue in discussions is the discussion of religion here this would be the why and how of religious support in politics see fig 3 figs 1 and 2 are in our postscript most of the religious people to whom i have spoken and who also deny that climate change is an issue describe themselves as evangelical christians they have 2 categories for denial first denial the religious leaders and tv personalities they respect say that it is a misunderstanding at best and a horrid lie at worst second denial they say that even if it starts to happen god will take care of it will protect the righteous the world will survive and the blessed will be left to enjoy its beauty frequently both assertions are made continue reading posted in natural resources politics pres trump tagged billy graham climate change climate change denialists donald trump evangelical christian katharine hayhoe paris agreement on climate change skeptical science tim walberg 3 comments climate shift denialists 1 business and politics posted on 2017 06 27 by lasttechage trump and other denialists reject climate change why on june 1 pres trump pulled the u s out of the international paris agreement on climate change and pushed climate change into one of the major stories of the year this has opened many more questions than can be covered in any single post we consider only that small facet of the climate change argument about why many business and political leaders deny it is happening this is the first of two discussions on why leaders deny that earth s climate is changing at an unnatural rate in climate shift denialists 2 we will discuss why some religious leaders might become denialists climate shift is real a prologue human caused climate change is happening right now and we will start with that it is a feature of chaos shift events that effects once done can never be reversed the sea level is rising now example islands coastal towns bays and bayous are being swallowed by the ocean and scoured with its currents and tides even if the level drops in a century or so these features will never be same again weather is becoming fiercer all who die because of extended day temperatures of 120 to 140 f 50 60 c will be lost forever although real and currently happening it is strongly disputed in the us we start with the fact of its existence definitions weather what happens every day it is like a snapshot across the your street today your image shows part of a bakery a white panel truck and a blue suv tomorrow you see a different part of the bakery a florist shop bicyclists and a pickup climate the long average of the weather it is like adding together a series of snaps of your street scene if you average a large number of pictures the incidental traffic no matter how large will be removed and all the shops become apparent fig 1 climate escalator world average temperature rose 0 18 c 0 324 f every decade since 1970 skeptical science features the world temperature graph by dana nuccitelli fig 1 is from the author s youtube presentation click the image for a readable version world weather is the jagged green line world climate is the straight red line temperature changes are just one of the indicators of our shifting climate others such as desertification and rising sea coasts may have more impact on us as a species check the skeptical science website for the 10 top alt facts used by denialists fig 2 katharine hayhoe environmental scientist dr katharine hayhoe fig 2 of texas tech university is one of the many scientists who talk about the climate shift problem watch as she discusses various climate facts false and true to a group of interested people it is climate that is shifting the weather will just grow more violent as the change continues so q why do americans doubt climate change a their leaders and tv talking heads tell them to q why do people in authority deny what is happening a motives of business execs and politicians are easy religious leaders the second post will be my very personal answer to christians in denial climate shift is real b why are business leaders climate denialists business resistance is totally understandable check the relation between stock prices and executive compensation this an issue is about how people work the people who run large businesses are among the highest compensated in the world many fought their way up to extreme wealth many were born to it if stock goes down in the short term terrible things happen so corporate planning strategies usually have a 3 6 month timeline continue reading posted in natural resources politics pres trump tagged charles koch climate change climate change denialists donald trump jane mayer katharine hayhoe koch brothers paris agreement skeptical science ted cruz tim walberg leave a comment donald trump is man child maybe posted on 2017 05 24 by lasttechage is donald trump a child in a man s body or something more disturbing this question has been discussed a lot how would you interpret all the public aspects of donald trump fig 1 fig 1 6 faces of president trump trump is a man child in recent weeks this interpretation has been discussed a lot here are a couple examples fig 2 david brooks oped columnist new york times columnist david brooks fig 2 wrote when the world is led by a child 2017 may 15 and lists 3 issues that challenge donald trump but which most people solve by the end of puberty this is an informative read control and focus of attention trump s attention span is controlled by his short term impulsive shifts his churning thoughts can jumble together threads of thought into any statement trump is still a 7 year old boy who is bouncing around the classroom my comment he appears unable to actually study anything sense of self most adults achieve some understanding of themselves but trump need s perpetual outside approval to stabilize his sense of self so he tells fabulist tales about himself my comment people who doubt their own adequacy need continuous reinforcement these are symptoms of deep feelings of inferiority theory of mind most people develop a bit of empathy or some at least some understanding of how others respond to events it appears donald trump never generated a model of how the rest of us think continue reading posted in politics pres trump tagged alison gopnik david brooks donald trump man child michael a cohen leave a comment president trump triumph of chaos posted on 2017 03 11 by lasttechage against all reasonable odds donald trump rose from a discounted republican candidate to take the president s oath of office how did this happen how is because trump is the product of self focused personal ambition and pushed himself forward at exactly the right time the real puzzlement is why did it happen against all expectations and so quickly too maybe trump s election is no big deal after all the sky has not yet fallen conditions have not actually changed all that much nice idea but you cannot immediately identify what happened to our stability nor even that a stability change occurred you can see the event clearly but only after the passage of time the issue we live in a chaotic world where present reality emerges when the tangle of uncountable things that could happen condenses into those that actually do fig 1 swearing in 2017 jan 20 the 20th century lifestyle ended in 2016 nov 08 not 2000 jan 01 but the new 21st century paradigm may well have begun 2017 jan 20 fig 1 trump happened because we were ripe for chaotic social change we are experiencing a societal chaos shift first a techno break to discuss what we mean by chaotic orbits and shifts in our social life patterns next section the donald trump phenomena you may skip to there if you wish think of our social structure as a basically stable system with gentle shifts among its interconnected parts for example our states of inequality and economic opportunity were essentially stable in american us society from ww ii until a bit after 1981 one key feature of chaotic stability is the pendulum swing effect you can see it in the voting records voters first want slightly conservative leaders then slightly liberal leaders then again then again you could think of this as the occasional but almost regular oscillation about an average center with more than one kind of political influence thread you get a quasi stable orbit rather than an oscillation about a conceptual center for our political stability visualize chaotic orbits suppose there were only 3 activity threads that influence the state of society each of these would be independent of the others except for cause and effect interactions between the results from each thread we visualize this as the concept graph in fig 2 each of the three influence threads is an axis direction vector fig 2 now moves in a chaotic orbit about the fixed point attractor the blue swirling line is the path of the net effect due the pendulum swings in each thread this path through the concept graph is like a jet airplane s contrail our current location now is the round yellow endpoint notice the fixed point as the apparent center of the motion choose 3 conceptually independent influence threads that show pendulum swinging influence 1 anxiety over living conditions influence 2 ethnicity for inclusion in social acceptance includes biases in race religion even wealth influence 3 inequality economic gain or loss of earnings potential compared to other segments of society other kinds of inequality exist too these are lasttechage names for markers recently identified by yascha mounk and roberto foa as the signs of deconsolidation of democracy in world politics foa and mounk s ideas have been discussed by for example amanda taub new york times and jonathan rauch atlantic monthly although anxiety ethnicity and inequality seem to be useful to trace donald trump s rise there are certainly many thousands of such threads that influence the direction of social change for simple visualization the choice of any three does not matter in a world of 7 billion people there may be thousands of millions of mutually interacting independently swinging threads affecting social stability if there is a forcing function at work on some of the the influences dimensions the fixed point will move small pushing forces usually cause small drifts in a system s fixed point and fig 1 does display a slight drift in its center as the now point moves in its orbit a chaos shift can happen if the push is strong enough if the pushing influences are too large the direction of the motion of now through concept space may abruptly shift the fixed point attractor to an unpredictable location fig 3 shows a such a chaos shift with our diagram an observer must wait at least one full orbit to estimate the position the new fixed attractor point fig 3 a strong push of the influences causes shift to new indeterminate attractor an unpredictable jump in the orbit s fixed point is much more likely than a minor shift in its position if the active now value has drifted too far from its attractor or if ...
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