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mediocre, trombonist, excellent, grandfather, reasonably, decent, husband, concerned, citizen, leaning, pseudo, analytical, thinker, versifier, parodist, snarkmeister, philologist, grey, haired, cook, congenital, ass, lakes, basin, mike, kimel, check, cite, authority, proof, reputable, assertion, examples, want, seriously, rules, engagement, handed, stays, light, meant, directions, www, kitco, adviser, registered, guy, playing, ideas, telling, anybody, penny, speculating, fun, topic, label, column, welcome, readers, subscribe, atom, older, seeing, motion, 0ff, 15723, 15694, 36386, 36304, spend, 36485, surrounded, ends, 4787, vertically, 245, 644, 338, 2249, 2272, 2265, 15759, 15855, nutil, 15868, 15729, 36522, 36679, 191, 36500, wound, 36372, missed, 4794, 4809, drifted, 248, 741, 778, pushing, validate, 2237, 2253, snaked, staying, 2243, 15795, 15680, 102, 15792, 36421, 36396, 46572, 4789, 4793, 4804, 249, 488, 2261, 2275, struggled, 2257, 15895, 15901, bumpy, 15757, 114, path, 36302, 36527, 225, 36344, does, impede, 4795, looking, 4780, wandered, 781, nice, santa, clause, 2242, 2230, 2255, 2250, 155844, 15825, 400, 15697, 15763, 35954, 36077, 36187, 36265, 36200, approaching, 4677, maintain, phase, ahead, immediate, 4750, 4784, 261, 871, 217, 302, 351, 791, bleeding, stop, slowed, substantially, hopeful, brings, minimum, spiked, 4617, breach, 206, 080, 236, 170, 696, futures, est, carry, refuted, closer, significantly, rare, 522, 407, 392, 700, strangely, disconnected, general, consistent, idea, experiencing, ongoing, thrust, 2288, dead, 15852, 15538, 15607, 15512, 320, 132, 36636, 36935, 350, 36740, 155, 36890, 255, 215, obviously, moment, hung, 4805, 4819, 268, 622, 799, 214, considered, ambiguous, 2284, 2260, naqsdaq, 15733, 15785, stepped, 15820, 15832, remans, ponits, 36322, 36246, 36495, 4758, 4786, 272, 832, 187, 585, 796, weekly, contours, magnitudes, unity, guess, backwards, 2158, 2156, 2126, steadily, 14708, 14888, 14689, 14898, 35935, 35996, 35641, 472, added, tracing, diagonal, correct, 4636, 4615, 4665, 893, 911, 662, 2177, 2197, highest, peaks, roller, coaster, occurred, sits, 15245, 15260, 14782, unusually, 36312, 36514, 224, 36044, 4744, 5650, 159, 806, 381, 113, 659, extents, outlier, represents, 2195, 2210, 2169, 15263, 15319, 15117, 36336, 36453, 36168, 4729, 4749, 4707, 4720, concluded, 188, 290, 726, hang, hats, thrilling, motions, volatility, any, 2171, 2155, 2193, 1419, 14838, 105, 36059, 35769, 299, 36271, 2669, 4638, 153, 252, 713, paths, recoveries, thing, wait, 2133, 14752, 184, 14530, encouraging, ticks, surges, 36175, 35640, 592, 4582, 171, 942, 068, 670, opinion, proven, otherwise, position, justify, negate, peeked, hold, proving, formidable, 4023, downside, possibility, expect, certainly, zig, zag, 4200, 4176, falls, coincidence, climbs, confidence, 4430, 4650, 4119, 382, picture, clarify, deeper, completing, possibilities, connected, curve, contribute, 4129, retracements, resulting, 3994, respectively, terminated, 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unsustainable, underestimate, irrationality, peaked, owned, wouldn, hurry, sell, watching, carefully, signs, inevitable, collapse, distressingly, advancing, consider, lock, hefty, profit, drops, keeps, heading, dump, advance, emphasizes, unsustainability, wrote, nose, buying, opportunity, agile, trader, stomach, marginal, 496, wobbled, nowhere, 490, actually, doldrums, pays, dividend, revisited, dot, indicates, erratically, leading, course, nothing, certain, dime, plunge, admittedly, simple, minded, sequence, coupled, putting, help, identify, slipping, leveling, maintained, slopes, throughout, tepid, alive, slide, steep, ranges, sounds, fundamental, basis, determined, emotions, fundamentals, movements, reveal, emotional, stream, confirms, recommendation, isaac, groot, offers, give, humanoid, robot, blackwell, ultra, chip, drive, demand, mega, cap, firms, underperformance, anticipating, developments, expansion, robotics, diversify, reducing, semiconductor, cyclicality, danil, sereda, 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no comments monday january 3 2022 monday december 31 2022 green arrow up sp500 at the close 4 796 56 30 38 0 64 dji30 36 585 06 246 76 0 68 nasdaq 15 832 80 187 83 1 20 russell 2000 2 272 56 27 24 1 21 the sp500 opened at 4778 up 12 points and after a rise dropped quickly hitting 4758 the lo before 10 00 it stayed below 4786 until 2 00 then rose to close within a fraction of the late day hi for a solid gain it achieved a new closing hi but not a new intra day hi this is an outside day with the hi higher by 10 points and the lo lower by 7 the index is still stalled near 4788 the critical resistance level identified last week the dji30 opened at 36322 off 17 it first rose then fell to 36246 the lo off 92 before 10 00 it stayed below 36495 until 2 00 then rose closing within a point of the late day hi for a solid gain it also achieved a new closing hi but not a new intra day hi it had an outside day with the hi higher by 11 points and the lo lower by 58 it also seems stalled near the earlier highs from november the naqsdaq opened at 15733 up 88 after a brief rise it fell to 15644 off a fraction before 10 00 it stayed below 15785 until after 1 30 it stepped up to 15820 after 2 30 then went mostly sideways to close at 15832 the hi for a substantial gain it had a higher higher by 55 points but the bottom was flat it remans about 70 ponits under the early november highs the russell 2000 opened at 2247 the lo up over a point it reached 2284 the hi up 38 at 10 30 it dropped to 2260 after 11 30 and stayed at that level until after 3 00 after a slight dip it rose into the close 12 points under the mid morning hi it had a clearly up day by 26 points at the top and 2 at the bottom and remains about 200 points under the early november highs all things considered this is a pretty good start to the week but the situation is still ambiguous tuesday january 4 2022 sp500 at the close 4 793 54 3 02 0 06 dji30 36 799 65 214 59 0 59 nasdaq 15 622 72 210 08 1 33 russell 2000 2 268 87 23 56 1 05 the sp500 opened at 4805 up 8 points and rose to 4819 the hi up 22 before 10 00 it then fell hitting 4774 the lo off 22 at 2 00 it climbed again hitting 4807 at 3 50 but then fell 11 points to close with a minute loss on a volume surge the index is still hung up near the 4788 critical resistance level the dji30 opened at 36636 the lo up 51 points and hit 36935 the hi up 350 before 11 00 it drooped to 36740 up 155 at 2 00 rose to 36890 at 3 50 then dropped 90 points into the close on a volume surge still the index achieved a new intra day hi by 255 points and at the closing by 215 obviously this is a clearly up day that spent every moment well into positive territory the nasdaq opened at 15852 the hi up 19 but fell to 15538 at 11 00 it stayed below 15607 until after 3 00 reaching 15512 the lo off 320 when it had a slight rise but then fell into the close on a volume surge because of the opening gain this was an outside day but the lo was lower by 132 points the russell 2000 opened at 2247 the lo up 2 points it immediately rose to 2288 the hi up 43 it then slumped reaching 2258 after 11 00 from there it meandered into the close for the day s largest gain th hi was up 4 points but the lo was dead even with yesterday s the indexes were strangely disconnected today so no general trend can be identified i m taking this to be consistent with the idea that they are experiencing an ongoing corrective wave against a higher level upward thrust though the dji and russell might be starting the next upward wave this is all very uncertain wednesday january 5 2022 red arrow down sp500 at the close 4 700 58 92 96 1 94 dji30 36 407 11 392 54 1 07 nasdaq 15 100 17 522 54 3 34 russell 2000 2 194 00 74 87 3 30 this was not very good day right from the beginning then after 2 00 it got really bad for all the indexes changes of a percent or so in either direction are not uncommon changes of 2 percent are uncommon changes of over 3 are rare the sp500 dropped almost 2 today and is now closer to the critical support level than it is to the critical resistance level i mentioned several times recently if that is breached significantly then the presumed up trend is refuted futures are close to flat but slightly positive as i write this shortly after 9 00 p m est we ll see if that can carry into the next session thursday january 6 2022 sp500 at the close 4 696 05 4 53 0 10 dji30 36 236 47 170 64 0 47 nasdaq 15 080 87 19 31 0 13 russell 2000 2 206 37 12 37 0 56 the sp500 opened and closed slightly negative in between it stayed within 25 points above and 29 points below neutral it was inconclusive after yesterday s large loss at the low it was 6 points under the critical support level at 4617 a significant breach will suggest further losses the dji 30 opened slightly positive and spiked up 57 points after 12 30 the rest of the day was spent in the red ending with a moderate loss at the lo it went slightly under the 144 day ema the nasdaq opened negative and hit its minimum after 10 00 i spent most of the day slightly positive but finished with a small loss at the lo it went slightly under the 145 day ema the russell 2000 opened flat and fell to its lo before 10 30 it spent the rest of the day positive and finished with a modest gain it spent the day below its moving averages the bleeding didn t completely stop today but it slowed down substantially the gain in the russell is hopeful let s hope tomorrow brings a recovery posted by jazzbumpa at 10 40 pm no comments monday december 27 2021 taking stock week of december 27 2021 monday december 27 2021 sp500 at the close 4 791 19 65 40 1 38 dji30 36 302 38 351 82 0 98 nasdaq 15 871 26 217 89 1 39 russell 2000 2 261 46 19 89 0 89 the sp500 opened at 4733 up 8 points and immediate y rose to 4750 it then rose more slowly reaching 4774 at noon and 4784 at 2 30 after a slight draw back it rose into the late day hi closing less than a point lower last thursday the index came within 4 points of a new intra day hi also on thursday it reached a new closing hi by 13 points and today it exceeded that by 65 elliott wave analyst avi gilbert identifies 4677 as a critical support level to maintain the short term bullish case a significant break of that level means that a corrective phase is unfolding with further declines expected he also identifies 4788 top horizontal line on the graph as critical resistance an impulsive break through suggests further gains ahead the dji30 opened at 35954 up 4 points and immediately rose to 36077 it chopped up and down for 45 minutes then climbed again reaching 36187 at 12 15 and 36265 at 2 30 after a slump to 36200 after 3 00 it rose sharply to close 4 points under the late day hi this index is approaching new highs but has not yet achieved them the nasdaq opened at 15697 up 43 points and quickly rose to 15763 after a brief draw back it climbed to 155844 at 12 15 and after 2 30 following a slump to 15825 before 2 30 it rose to close within a fraction of the day s hi it is still 200 to 400 points under recent all time highs the russell 2000 opened at 2242 up a point it slumped to 2230 off 11 at 10 00 then quickly rose reaching 2255 at 11 15 it ran horizontal above 2250 until after 3 30 when it climbed sharply into the close for the day s largest gain it remains about 200 points under the recent all time highs this is a nice follow up to last week s gains and a good start to the week maybe there is a santa clause tuesday december 28 2021 sp500 at the close 4 786 32 4 87 0 10 dji30 36 398 21 95 83 0 26 nasdaq 15 781 72 89 54 0 56 russell 2000 2 246 51 14 95 0 66 the sp500 opened at 4795 up 4 points it reached 4807 the day s hi before 10 00 it then dropped the rest of the day in two choppy looking steps hitting 4780 the lo at 12 30 it then wandered into the close for a small loss it reached a new intra day hi but not a new closing hi faltering within 10 points of the critical resistance level i mentioned yesterday but after 5 strong days a slight pull back is not a surprise and does not on its own impede the bullish case the dji30 followed a roughly similar path it opened at 36302 the day s lo up a fraction and reached 36527 up 225 the hi after 10 00 it also fell in two steps hitting 36344 an intermediate lo at 12 30 before chopping into the close for the day s only gain it remains about 40 points under all time highs the nasdaq opened at 15895 up 24 and reached 15901 the hi up 30 at 10 00 it had a bumpy ride down until hitting 15757 the lo off 114 after 2 00 from there it was a slight rise and fall into the close the russell 2000 opened at 2261 off a fraction it reached 2275 the hi up 13 at 10 00 it fell to 2246 the lo off 16 at 12 30 struggled to reach 2257 at 3 30 then drooped finishing within a point of the lo for the day s largest loss wednesday december 29 2021 yellow arrow sideways sp500 at the close 4 793 06 6 71 0 14 dji30 3 6 488 63 90 42 0 25 nasdaq 115 766 22 15 51 0 10 russell 2000 2 249 24 2 74 0 12 the sp500 opened at 4789 up 2 points and dropped to 4778 the lo off 8 points at 10 15 it stayed under 4793 until 2 00 and reached 4804 the hi at 3 50 the dropped hard into the close for a small gain the dji30 opened at 36421 up 23 quickly reached 36509 up 111 then dropped to 36396 off 2 the lo at 10 15 it stayed below 36509 until 3 00 and reached 46572 the hi at 3 50 before dropping hard into the close for a modest gain the nasdaq opened at 15795 up 13 and dropped to 15680 off 102 at 10 15 it then stayed below 15777 until 3 30 hitting 15792 after 3 50 followed by a drop into the close for a small loss the russell 2000 opened at 2246 off a fraction and dropped to 2237 off 10 at 10 15 it climbed to 2253 the hi after 11 00 it snaked around neutral staying above 2243 the rest of the day then rising from that level after 3 30 to close with a small gain today s action appears to be counter current to the presumed short term up trend the sp500 has stalled within a few points of 4788 the critical resistance level identified by avi gilbert pushing through that level with an impulse will validate the bullish case thursday december 30 2021 yellow arrow sideways sp500 at the close 4 778 73 14 33 0 30 dji30 36 398 08 90 55 0 25 nasdaq 15 741 56 24 65 0 16 russell 2000 2 248 79 0 45 0 02 the sp500 opened at 4794 up 1 it reached 4809 up 16 the hi before 10 30 it drifted slowly lower until 3 30 when it fell sharply hitting 4775 the low just 3 minutes before the close the 3 point rise at the end came on a volume surge the index remains stalled near the critical resistance level of 4788 it did reach a new intra day hi by less than 2 points but missed a closing hi by 12 the dji30 36522 up 34 and quickly rose to 36679 up 191 it dropped to 36500 at 11 45 and wound around that level until 3 30 when it dropped hitting 36372 the low 3 minutes before the close it rose 26 points into the close on a volume surge the nasdaq opened at 15759 off 7 points it rose to 15855 before 10 30 i hovered near that level nutil 2 30 hitting 15868 the hi at noon at 3 00 it fell hard reaching 15729 the lo 3 minutes before the lo it the rose 13 points on a volume surge the russell 2000 opened flat at 2249 it rose to 2272 the hi up 23 after 10 00 it stayed above 2265 hitting the hi again at 2 45 it then dropped hard hitting 2247 the lo off 2 points 3 minutes before the close it then rose ending off a half point this appears to be a counter current wave still unfolding friday december 31 2021 sp500 at the close 4 766 18 12 55 0 26 dji30 36 338 30 59 78 0 16 nasdaq 15 644 97 96 59 0 61 russell 2000 2 245 31 3 48 0 15 the sp500 opened at 4775 off 4 points and quickly rose to 4787 the hi up 8 it then fell and stayed slightly negative until 1 00 it spent most of the afternoon chopping around neutral but dropped vertically in the last 15 minutes to finish within a half point of the last minute lo on a volume surge for a small loss today s action surrounded the critical resistance level identified earlier in the week so the year ends on a very uncertain note is a counter current wave unfolding or is the index topping and ready to fall the dji30 opened at 36386 off 12 and stayed in negative territory until 1 00 hitting 36304 the lo off 94 before 12 30 it then spend most of the afternoon above neutral hitting 36485 the hi up 87 after 2 00 it also took a dive at the end on a volume surge ending 34 points above the low for a small loss the nasdaq opened at 15723 off 19 ot quickly rose to 15777 the hi up 36 it dropped to 15694 around 11 00 and stayed close to that level until the last 15 minutes when it dropped to 15644 the lo 1 point below the close it finished with the day s largest loss the russell 2000 opened at 2246 0ff 3 points and climbed to 2258 the hi up 9 after 10 00 it meandered close to the neutral line until the last few minutes when it fell to close just a half point above the late day lo these choppy losses over the last few days do not look impulsive so i still think we are seeing counter current motion within an upward trend posted by jazzbumpa at 9 58 pm no comments older posts home subscribe to posts atom change in plans no 2 stock market musings are now located at amateur elliott amateur elliott welcome readers i know you re out there come on say something topic label list and links are at the bottom of this column have fun disclaimer do i need to point out that i am not a financial adviser registered stock analyst or anything other than a guy playing with ideas for his own amusement get your own data do your own thinking make your own decisions i am not telling anybody to do anything with even a single penny of their assets happy speculating gold via www kitco com change in plans starting sunday feb 6 2010 light hearted stuff has been moved to a new blog if you are meant to find it you probably will if you need directions write me meanwhile the heavy hearted and heavy handed stuff stays here cheers jzb rules of engagement over at angry bear mike kimel has posted a list of things to think about if you want to be taken seriously it might be worth your time to check it out a few are specific to his situation most are not examples 1 don t cite authority as proof 2 get your data from a reputable source 7 do not argue by assertion 15 time moves in a single direction about me jazzbumpa somewhere great lakes basin united states mediocre trombonist excellent grandfather reasonably decent husband concerned thinking citizen left leaning pseudo intellectual shallow analytical thinker versifier parodist snarkmeister amateur philologist grey haired old man occasional cook congenital smart ass view my complete profile about this blog main topics musings on politics and the economy snark oddities snark pictures music cross word puzzles snark possible humor life the universe and everything and the occasional fairy search this blog lijit search wijit lijit search my angry bear posts from 2013 are listed here from 2012 are listed here my 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