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dermine the integrity of u s elections with the 2026 midterms underway the suspensions and fines mark one of the most robust enforcement actions taken yet by a prediction market platform against political candidates according to cnn a kalshi spokesperson said the platform referred enriquez s case to the cftc it did not refer his case to any state agencies according to the spokesperson who said it wasn t required cases like these demonstrate kalshi s commitment to policing all types of unfair or improper trading on our platform bobby denault kalshi s head of enforcement said in the statement announcing the suspensions wednesday regardless of the size of a trade political candidates who can influence a market based on whether they stay in or out of a race violate our rules no matter how small the size of the trade any trade that is found to have violated our exchange rules will be punished what a dumbass the rule broken according to that kalshi document is pretty clear if a trader is a decision maker either directly or indirectly or has any influence directly or indirectly no matter the scale and importance of the influence on the outcome of the underlying event of any contract that trader is prohibited from attempting to enter into any trade either directly or indirectly on the market in such contracts as anyone with even a passing familiarity with sports gambling and why players and coaches managers are forbidden from voting on themselves or their teams any bet you make in which you have direct influence on the outcome is one that calls into question the validity of the exercise it doesn t matter if you were betting on yourself to win and trying your best within the rules to do so the betting markets and yes kalshi and polymarket are betting markets can t abide any of it and correctly refuse to split hairs on intent and purity he pete rosed himself and he got caught end of story the federal government will do nothing about this sort of thing as long as donald trump and his grubby sons are in power there s nothing stopping the state from passing a law that would enact some disincentives and penalties for this i look forward to seeing who introduces bills to this effect in the next legislative session i will note that dan patrick would like to regulate prediction markets but the feds are in their way and ken paxton has declined opportunities to join with other state ags to advocate for states that want to do this maybe a bill targeted specifically at candidates could pass given that kalshi and polymarket have policies that align with it but they may not want that foot in the door it would be an entertainingly messy fight in any event posted in election 2026 tagged cd21 commodity futures trading commission congress dan patrick donald trump election 2026 gambling insider trading kalshi ken paxton polymarket prediction markets primaries texas the lege zeke enriquez leave a comment texas blog roundup for the week of may 4 posted on may 7 2026 by charles kuffner the texas progressive alliance knows that the fifth circuit is even more corrupt than scotus as it brings you this week s roundup off the kuff brings you two more polls showing james taalrico leading the race for us senate in texas socraticgadfly loves him some james hansen agrees that we re in a climate crisis not just climate change that will lead to 5 c of temperature increase in a century without strong action soon knows that way too many people still don t get this and hates that the likes of michael mann have attacked him as alarmist but explains in great detail why he is far more skeptical than hansen about nuclear energy being a major part of the solution neil at the houston democracy project spoke about empowering ourselves at a may day event at a unitarian church in the woodlands as always the next action is when you organize it and here are some posts of interest from other texas blogs steve vladeck and law dork critique the scotus ruling in the lawsuit over texas congressional re redistricting space city weather answers your questions about el nino why it always rains on weekends and more the texas signal talks to some drag performers about what they feel they can legally do now texas rural reporter uses the example of a kid from spearman being drafted by the nfl to show how important public schools are in rural communities and why the voucher program is a threat to them city of yes talks about making space for the things we don t like but still need posted in blog stuff tagged blog roundup tpa leave a comment new uh hobby poll has paxton beating cornyn in the senate runoff posted on may 6 2026 by charles kuffner as long as they keep beating each other up it s all good still a crook any way you look attorney general ken paxton leads sen john cornyn by three percentage points in a new poll of texas u s senate republican runoff suggesting the may 26 contest will be narrowly decided absent a shakeup in the final weeks the statewide survey conducted by the university of houston s hobby school of public affairs found paxton garnering 48 of the vote to cornyn s 45 among likely gop runoff voters fielded from april 28 to friday the poll surveyed 1 200 voters and yielded a margin of error of 2 83 percentage points since the march 3 primary when cornyn finished narrowly ahead of paxton virtually all polling of the overtime round has come from groups with partisan ties most have found either a close race or a single digit paxton lead much in line with the hobby school poll the two republicans are locked in a runoff after neither secured a majority of the vote in march cornyn won 42 of the vote to paxton s 40 5 with u s rep wesley hunt r houston coming in third with 13 5 the uh poll found hunt supporters breaking toward paxton by a 19 percentage point margin 54 to 35 whether hunt voters come back for the runoff and whom they back if so is an open question with the potential to swing the race on the trail hunt was highly critical of the 74 year old cornyn whom he criticized for both his age and role in crafting a bipartisan gun safety bill hunt sought to portray himself as a younger paxton without the ethical and legal baggage the attorney general has accumulated over his years in office but since finishing third hunt has resisted overtures to endorse in the contest saying he would follow president donald trump s lead trump has notably stayed out of the senate contest despite pledging to weigh in reportedly for cornyn the day after the primary in any case the uh poll is the latest to find that cornyn and paxton each have a solid lock on their respective bases with few voters changing their mind since march and all but a fraction of the electorate still on the fence paxton s coalition from march is slightly more durable the survey found of the likely runoff voters who pulled the lever for him in round one 95 plan to back him again this month compared to 91 who plan to stick with cornyn but among the 7 of respondents who are still undecided in the contest the majority of whom dislike both candidates cornyn is viewed favorably by nearly a quarter of that bloc a bit ahead of the 19 who voiced a favorable view of paxton that suggests that after 2 14 million voters cast ballots in the march gop contest the runoff result will be shaped by which candidate turns out more of his existing base of supporters whatever it s much ado about shitty people and i can only care so much what i do care about is what the supporters of the losing candidate will do as i ve said i believe one reason for the very lackadaisical poll numbers in the general election for both paxton and cornyn is this primary runoff and the bad feelings each side now has for the other will they hug it out afterwards or will they go to their corners and marinate in their grievances i know what i m rooting for i m also rooting for there to be a followup poll with general election numbers we ll see as for the other races polled both ag candidates are also shitty and would likely be worse as ag than paxton has been because they ll want to build on what he s done and they won t have the baggage he has the railroad commissioner race contains one of the most nakedly racist candidates the gop has ever had on a ballot he s trailing in this poll but there are a lot of undecided voters there should be more attention paid to that race maybe there will be if that guy wins the poll s landing page is here and the chron has more posted in election 2026 tagged attorney general election 2026 james talarico john cornyn ken paxton polls primaries railroad commission runoff senate texas leave a comment checking in on that sewage consent decree posted on may 6 2026 by charles kuffner from the inbox five years into a landmark 2021 federal consent decree requiring houston to fix its sewage system a new independent engineering review commissioned by bayou city waterkeeper finds that progress is falling short of what residents need and what the law requires the findings were presented today to houston city council the review authored by kevin draganchuk p e of cea engineers assessed all available consent decree compliance reporting the results reveal a combination of delays missing data and a transparency gap that makes independently verifying whether houston is on track to meet its legal obligations difficult to discern by city council community members u s environmental protection agency or texas commission on environmental quality what the independent review found five of the nine neighborhoods the city itself identified as its highest priority capacity constrained areas places with the worst chronic sewage overflow records remain in the design phase five years in only one of those five has seen construction begin on the fixes the decree requires several required projects have been delayed as of most recent reporting by houston public works raising concern about public works project status on key consent decree deadlines among the noteworthy is the evaluation of the massive aging 69th street wastewater treatment plant which has reported high volume sewage overflows during heavy rains and has been cited by tceq at least 20 times since 2021 for potential permit violations the engineer found the city s annual compliance reports severely lacking in data specific completion dates project level backup data and methodological detail are routinely omitted making it impossible for city council the epa or the public to independently verify compliance the engineer also flagged unexplained peculiarities in the city s reported data including a 97 mile decrease in total reported pipe length alongside an increase of 1 800 manholes we can assume why this is but without verified data are not able to confirm why this is the case where repairs have been made they work a lift station improvement off clinton drive appears to have addressed the root cause of high volume overflows near woodland park and demonstrates exactly the kind of impact these investments can have for houston neighborhoods however too few of these fixes are moving fast enough where the city invests it works in woodland park early projects have already significantly reduced sanitary sewer overflow events during rain and wet weather this is proof that when we prioritize infrastructure we see immediate tangible returns for our neighborhoods the consent decree is a vital win for houston and we must protect it guadalupe fernandez policy strategy director bayou city waterkeeper why this matters now a national report released this month ranked houston one of the three most stressed sewer systems in the country calling our stress level critical and citing sewage overflows and a lack of investment as primary culprits many consent decree deadlines culminated at the five year mark especially early action projects where we would hope to see more progress than we have with water rates rising houstonians deserve to know that those funds are moving the needle on the 9 billion infrastructure overhaul the consent decree demands in addition to the costly daily fines for non compliance failure to meet the requirements of the consent decree creates legal risk for the city houston is in the middle of budget season with funding planning for infrastructure projects to follow this is a time in which the city will evaluate how and where to spend its limited funds and what projects to prioritize with every day compliance is delayed and another sewage overflow reported project costs increase and new penalties are assessed by the state and federal governments inflation means that every year of deferred repair raises the ultimate cost to taxpayers and we know the city has already accrued more than a million dollars in fees and likely twice this amount since 2021 and failure to meet consent decree requirements creates compounding legal and fiscal risks for the city water fees are going up and houstonians deserve to know the money they are paying is going to improve the systems and infrastructure it is intended for and that investment is being made efficiently in terms of time and costs as the city assesses water and wastewater fees we hope city council and public works will follow in the footsteps of places like san antonio and austin that have programs addressing affordability for residents with low incomes kristen schlemmer co executive director bayou city waterkeeper bayou city waterkeeper s requests to houston city council bayou city waterkeeper is formally asking houston city council to 1 hold houston public works accountable to its legal obligations under the 2021 consent decree and ensure ratepayers dollars are working toward compliance 2 require houston public works to provide more detailed verified reporting including specific completion dates inspection methodologies and confirmation that the most critical areas are being prioritized 3 use the current budget process to ensure houston public works has the resources beyond those generated by water rate increases it needs to accelerate compliance and to insist on transparency in how those resources are deployed questions worth asking bayou city waterkeeper encourages reporters covering this story to seek answers to the following has the epa ever formally flagged the city for non compliance with the consent decree the city has paid 1 266 400 in penalties to the doj as of june 2024 according to bayou city waterkeeper s internal analysis with a comparable amount likely paid to tceq what fines have been assessed since then and from what funding source does the city pay them what did the city spend on consent decree progress in each fiscal year and on what is it accurate that total gravity pipe mileage dropped 97 miles between 2024 and 2025 if so why for the 4 out of 9 priority capacity areas specifically areas 1 5 6 12 and 8 that have been in design for years with no construction start dates what are their planned construction start dates why were some areas...